Pakistan’s central bank cut its key policy rate by 200 basis points to 13 per cent yesterday, it said in a statement, its fifth straight reduction since June as the country keeps up efforts to revive a sluggish economy with inflation easing.
Pakistan’s latest move makes this year’s cuts one of the most aggressive among emerging market central banks in the current easing cycle.
Cumulatively, the central bank has cut rates by 900 basis points during 2024, even higher than during the pandemic in 2020 when it cut 625 basis points in a year.
“Overall, the Committee assessed that its approach of measured policy rate cuts is keeping inflationary and external account pressures in check, while supporting economic growth on a sustainable basis,” the bank’s monetary policy committee said in a statement announcing its decision.
The bank noted that it expected inflation to average “substantially below” its earlier forecast range of 11.5pc to 13.5pc in 2025.
It added that the inflation outlook was susceptible to risks, including measures to meet government revenue shortfalls as well as food inflation and increased global commodity prices.
“Inflation may remain volatile in the near term before stabilising in the target range,” the bank said.
During a call with analysts, the central bank chief, Jameel Ahmad, said that the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) did not target any particular real interest rate level when making its policy rate decision yesterday.
However, he said in the past the central bank had targeted 5-7pc inflation in the medium term, and this target was now in sight within the next 12 months.
The South Asian country is navigating a challenging economic recovery path and has been buttressed by a $7 billion facility from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in September.
The bank noted that “considerable efforts and additional measures” would be required for Pakistan to meet its annual revenue target, a key focus of the IMF agreement.
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